What’s Next in the Middle East: An Egyptian’s Take

In her interview with The Washington Post last week, US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice was upbeat about democratic transformation in the Middle East. She had no qualms about regime change and harangued those ready to accommodate the status quo for the sake of stability. When told that the region is so volatile that, should democracy fail, it may slip into chaos or be taken over by Islamist groups, Condi flashed her trademark smile and explained the chaos initially produced by democratisation is “creative chaos” that would make things better in the end.”

“The second phase of the neo-con global strategy has just begun. The first phase brought down the Taliban regime in Afghanistan and the Baath regime in Iraq as part of the “war on terror”. The second phase aims to bring down the regimes of Syria and Iran, disarm and dismantle the resistance in both Lebanon and Palestine, and introduce lasting political reform across the Arab world, particularly in key countries such as Egypt and Saudi Arabia. The first phase involved an ample use of military power and ended in physical occupation of the target countries. The second phase will favour non-military means, without entirely excluding the military option. For example, aerial strikes may be used against specific targets. But the occupation of land is unlikely now that the Americans have experienced enough trouble in Afghanistan and Iraq.”

TheStateOf…This concept of preemptive war, which once only resided in the deepest reaches of the far Right Wing, now sits squarly in the political Center. Sadly, I think the US will attack Iran’s nuclear facilities before the end of President Bush’s term, and drive this country further towards war without end.

Leave a Reply